Will it snow on New Year’s Eve? Odds by city

New Year’s Eve snow odds, best first

1. Fairbanks: an inch on the ground in 100% of years, usual high 1°F
2. Anchorage: an inch on the ground in 96% of years, usual high 23°F
3. Duluth: an inch on the ground in 95% of years, usual high 21°F
4. Fargo: an inch on the ground in 83% of years, usual high 19°F
5. Bismarck: an inch on the ground in 77% of years, usual high 24°F
6. Minneapolis: an inch on the ground in 77% of years, usual high 25°F
7. Concord: an inch on the ground in 68% of years, usual high 33°F
8. Burlington: an inch on the ground in 68% of years, usual high 31°F
9. Green Bay: an inch on the ground in 66% of years, usual high 27°F
10. Madison: an inch on the ground in 65% of years, usual high 29°F
11. Flagstaff: an inch on the ground in 64% of years, usual high 42°F
12. Sioux Falls: an inch on the ground in 63% of years, usual high 28°F
13. Binghamton: an inch on the ground in 61% of years, usual high 31°F
14. Syracuse: an inch on the ground in 61% of years, usual high 33°F
15. Grand Rapids: an inch on the ground in 59% of years, usual high 33°F
16. Missoula: an inch on the ground in 59% of years, usual high 30°F
17. Buffalo: an inch on the ground in 57% of years, usual high 34°F
18. Casper: an inch on the ground in 57% of years, usual high 34°F
19. Lansing: an inch on the ground in 57% of years, usual high 32°F
20. Portland, Maine: an inch on the ground in 56% of years, usual high 34°F
21. Rochester: an inch on the ground in 55% of years, usual high 35°F
22. Waterloo: an inch on the ground in 55% of years, usual high 29°F
23. Dubuque: an inch on the ground in 54% of years, usual high 28°F
24. Sioux City: an inch on the ground in 54% of years, usual high 30°F
25. Helena: an inch on the ground in 53% of years, usual high 31°F
26. Salt Lake City: an inch on the ground in 51% of years, usual high 37°F
27. Spokane: an inch on the ground in 50% of years, usual high 33°F
28. Erie: an inch on the ground in 50% of years, usual high 37°F
29. Rockford: an inch on the ground in 50% of years, usual high 30°F
30. South Bend: an inch on the ground in 49% of years, usual high 33°F
31. Youngstown: an inch on the ground in 49% of years, usual high 35°F
32. Milwaukee: an inch on the ground in 49% of years, usual high 33°F
33. Billings: an inch on the ground in 48% of years, usual high 35°F
34. Albany: an inch on the ground in 47% of years, usual high 34°F
35. Cleveland: an inch on the ground in 45% of years, usual high 37°F
36. Des Moines: an inch on the ground in 44% of years, usual high 32°F
37. Great Falls: an inch on the ground in 44% of years, usual high 35°F
38. Detroit: an inch on the ground in 40% of years, usual high 34°F
39. Akron: an inch on the ground in 39% of years, usual high 37°F
40. Rapid City: an inch on the ground in 39% of years, usual high 36°F
41. Chicago: an inch on the ground in 38% of years, usual high 33°F
42. Yakima: an inch on the ground in 37% of years, usual high 37°F
43. Grand Junction: an inch on the ground in 36% of years, usual high 36°F
44. Omaha: an inch on the ground in 36% of years, usual high 34°F
45. Peoria: an inch on the ground in 36% of years, usual high 35°F
46. Fort Wayne: an inch on the ground in 35% of years, usual high 34°F
47. Toledo: an inch on the ground in 35% of years, usual high 36°F
48. Pittsburgh: an inch on the ground in 35% of years, usual high 37°F
49. Lincoln: an inch on the ground in 34% of years, usual high 36°F
50. Cheyenne: an inch on the ground in 32% of years, usual high 39°F
51. Indianapolis: an inch on the ground in 29% of years, usual high 37°F
52. Dayton: an inch on the ground in 27% of years, usual high 38°F
53. Springfield, Illinois: an inch on the ground in 27% of years, usual high 37°F
54. Columbus: an inch on the ground in 26% of years, usual high 38°F
55. Scranton: snow falls in 24% of years, usual high 37°F
56. Kansas City: an inch on the ground in 22% of years, usual high 39°F
57. Boise: an inch on the ground in 22% of years, usual high 37°F
58. Quad Cities: snow falls in 21% of years, usual high 33°F
59. Cincinnati: an inch on the ground in 20% of years, usual high 40°F
60. St. Louis: an inch on the ground in 20% of years, usual high 41°F
61. Providence: an inch on the ground in 19% of years, usual high 40°F
62. Harrisburg: an inch on the ground in 19% of years, usual high 40°F
63. Reno: an inch on the ground in 19% of years, usual high 46°F
64. Hartford: snow falls in 17% of years, usual high 37°F
65. Boston: snow falls in 17% of years, usual high 39°F
66. Newark: an inch on the ground in 16% of years, usual high 41°F
67. New York: an inch on the ground in 16% of years, usual high 41°F
68. Springfield, Missouri: an inch on the ground in 14% of years, usual high 44°F
69. Wichita: an inch on the ground in 12% of years, usual high 43°F
70. Louisville: an inch on the ground in 12% of years, usual high 44°F
71. Lexington: an inch on the ground in 11% of years, usual high 43°F
72. Philadelphia: an inch on the ground in 11% of years, usual high 43°F
73. Amarillo: an inch on the ground in 10% of years, usual high 51°F
74. Baltimore: an inch on the ground in 8% of years, usual high 44°F
75. Richmond: an inch on the ground in 7% of years, usual high 49°F
76. Asheville: an inch on the ground in 7% of years, usual high 49°F
77. Tulsa: an inch on the ground in 6% of years, usual high 48°F
78. Washington, DC: an inch on the ground in 6% of years, usual high 46°F
79. Lubbock: an inch on the ground in 5% of years, usual high 54°F
80. Oklahoma City: an inch on the ground in 5% of years, usual high 48°F
81. Greensboro: an inch on the ground in 5% of years, usual high 50°F
82. Portland, Oregon: an inch on the ground in 4% of years, usual high 46°F
83. Albuquerque: an inch on the ground in 4% of years, usual high 46°F
84. Seattle: an inch on the ground in 4% of years, usual high 47°F
85. Olympia: an inch on the ground in 3% of years, usual high 45°F
86. Knoxville: an inch on the ground in 3% of years, usual high 48°F
87. Norfolk: snow falls in 3% of years, usual high 52°F
88. Raleigh: an inch on the ground in 3% of years, usual high 52°F
89. Memphis: an inch on the ground in 2% of years, usual high 51°F
90. Charlotte: an inch on the ground in 2% of years, usual high 53°F
91. Nashville: an inch on the ground in 2% of years, usual high 49°F
92. Little Rock: an inch on the ground in 2% of years, usual high 50°F
93. Atlanta: an inch on the ground in 2% of years, usual high 54°F
94. El Paso: an inch on the ground in 2% of years, usual high 57°F
95. Chattanooga: an inch on the ground in 1% of years, usual high 51°F
96. Medford: an inch on the ground in 1% of years, usual high 46°F
97. Columbia: an inch on the ground in 1% of years, usual high 57°F
98. Jackson: an inch on the ground in under 1% of years, usual high 57°F
99. Baton Rouge: an inch on the ground in under 1% of years, usual high 62°F
100. Dallas: an inch on the ground in under 1% of years, usual high 56°F
101. Birmingham: an inch on the ground in under 1% of years, usual high 55°F
102. Charleston: snow falls in under 1% of years, usual high 61°F
103. Las Vegas: an inch on the ground in under 1% of years, usual high 56°F
104. Corpus Christi: an inch on the ground in under 1% of years, usual high 68°F
105. Austin: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 62°F
106. Fresno: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 54°F
107. Houston: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 63°F
108. Jacksonville: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 66°F
109. Miami: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 77°F
110. Mobile: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 62°F
111. New Orleans: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 63°F
112. Orlando: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 72°F
113. San Antonio: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 63°F
114. Savannah: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 62°F
115. Shreveport: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 58°F
116. Tampa: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 72°F
117. Tucson: an inch on the ground in 0% of years, usual high 65°F

Chance of at least an inch of snow on the ground on Dec 31, or of snow falling that day where NOAA publishes no ground figure, for each city’s official station. Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals, 1991 to 2020.