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    White Christmas · Fairbanks

    Will it be a white Christmas in Fairbanks?

    In Fairbanks, there’s an inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day in about 100% of years, and snow falls that day in about 33% of years. That’s from NOAA’s records for 1991 to 2020.

    Snow’s practically on the guest list.
    Tomorrow’s roast for FairbanksFree, no account, and you pick how rude I get.

    That’s the best chance of a white Christmas of the 111 US cities with a NOAA figure.

    Last updated

    Christmas Day, typically

    1 in on the ground
    100%
    Snow falls
    33%
    Usual high
    2°F
    Usual low
    -15°F

    A typical Christmas Day in Fairbanks runs from about -15°F to 2°F.

    Christmas 2026 is a Friday, and these NOAA figures are for December 25 itself.

    The real Christmas Day forecast for Fairbanks comes into range from Dec 20.

    Cities with about the same odds

    • Anchorage: an inch on the ground in 94% of years
    • Duluth: an inch on the ground in 92% of years
    • Fargo: an inch on the ground in 78% of years

    White Christmas odds in every city

    More about the weather here

    Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals, 1991 to 2020, for each city’s official station on Dec 25. NOAA counts a white Christmas as an inch or more of snow on the ground, and snow falling means at least a tenth of an inch that day. Station USW00026411.