White Christmas · Madison
Will it be a white Christmas in Madison?
In Madison, there’s an inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day in about 60% of years, and snow falls that day in about 27% of years. That’s from NOAA’s records for 1991 to 2020.
Better than a coin flip, which is as close to a promise as winter makes.
10 of the 111 US cities with a NOAA figure have a better chance of a white Christmas.
Last updated
Christmas Day, typically
- 1 in on the ground
- 60%
- Snow falls
- 27%
- Usual high
- 30°F
- Usual low
- 16°F
A typical Christmas Day in Madison runs from about 16°F to 30°F.
Christmas 2026 is a Friday, and these NOAA figures are for December 25 itself.
The real Christmas Day forecast for Madison comes into range from Dec 20.
Cities with about the same odds
- Flagstaff: an inch on the ground in 60% of years
- Sioux Falls: an inch on the ground in 59% of years
- Green Bay: an inch on the ground in 61% of years
More about the weather here
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals, 1991 to 2020, for each city’s official station on Dec 25. NOAA counts a white Christmas as an inch or more of snow on the ground, and snow falling means at least a tenth of an inch that day. Station USW00014837.