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    White Christmas · Rapid City

    Will it be a white Christmas in Rapid City?

    In Rapid City, there’s an inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day in about 38% of years, and snow falls that day in about 18% of years. That’s from NOAA’s records for 1991 to 2020.

    A white one turns up some years, and never the year anyone bets on it.
    Tomorrow’s roast for Rapid CityFree, no account, and you pick how rude I get.

    37 of the 111 US cities with a NOAA figure have a better chance of a white Christmas.

    Last updated

    Christmas Day, typically

    1 in on the ground
    38%
    Snow falls
    18%
    Usual high
    36°F
    Usual low
    13°F

    A typical Christmas Day in Rapid City runs from about 13°F to 36°F.

    Christmas 2026 is a Friday, and these NOAA figures are for December 25 itself.

    The real Christmas Day forecast for Rapid City comes into range from Dec 20.

    Cities with about the same odds

    • Des Moines: an inch on the ground in 39% of years
    • Cleveland: an inch on the ground in 40% of years
    • Yakima: an inch on the ground in 35% of years

    White Christmas odds in every city

    More about the weather here

    Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals, 1991 to 2020, for each city’s official station on Dec 25. NOAA counts a white Christmas as an inch or more of snow on the ground, and snow falling means at least a tenth of an inch that day. Station USW00024090.