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    White Christmas · Helena

    Will it be a white Christmas in Helena?

    In Helena, there’s an inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day in about 50% of years, and snow falls that day in about 18% of years. That’s from NOAA’s records for 1991 to 2020.

    Better than a coin flip, which is as close to a promise as winter makes.
    Tomorrow’s roast for HelenaFree, no account, and you pick how rude I get.

    20 of the 111 US cities with a NOAA figure have a better chance of a white Christmas.

    Last updated

    Christmas Day, typically

    1 in on the ground
    50%
    Snow falls
    18%
    Usual high
    31°F
    Usual low
    12°F

    A typical Christmas Day in Helena runs from about 12°F to 31°F.

    Christmas 2026 is a Friday, and these NOAA figures are for December 25 itself.

    The real Christmas Day forecast for Helena comes into range from Dec 20.

    Cities with about the same odds

    • Lansing: an inch on the ground in 51% of years
    • Waterloo: an inch on the ground in 50% of years
    • Rochester: an inch on the ground in 52% of years

    White Christmas odds in every city

    More about the weather here

    Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals, 1991 to 2020, for each city’s official station on Dec 25. NOAA counts a white Christmas as an inch or more of snow on the ground, and snow falling means at least a tenth of an inch that day. Station USW00024144.