White Christmas · Rochester
Will it be a white Christmas in Rochester?
In Rochester, there’s an inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day in about 52% of years, and snow falls that day in about 47% of years. That’s from NOAA’s records for 1991 to 2020.
Better than a coin flip, which is as close to a promise as winter makes.
18 of the 111 US cities with a NOAA figure have a better chance of a white Christmas.
Last updated
Christmas Day, typically
- 1 in on the ground
- 52%
- Snow falls
- 47%
- Usual high
- 36°F
- Usual low
- 23°F
A typical Christmas Day in Rochester runs from about 23°F to 36°F.
Christmas 2026 is a Friday, and these NOAA figures are for December 25 itself.
The real Christmas Day forecast for Rochester comes into range from Dec 20.
Cities with about the same odds
More about the weather here
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals, 1991 to 2020, for each city’s official station on Dec 25. NOAA counts a white Christmas as an inch or more of snow on the ground, and snow falling means at least a tenth of an inch that day. Station USW00014768.